The Twilight of the Polls? A Review of Trends in Polling Accuracy and the Causes of Polling Misses

Christopher Prosser, Jonathan Mellon

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)757-790
Number of pages34
JournalGovernment and Opposition
Issue number4
Early online date23 May 2018
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2018


  • late swing
  • non-probability samples
  • polling
  • representative samples
  • shy voters
  • survey error
  • survey weighting
  • turnout filtering

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