The Colombian Conflict: Uribe's First 17 Months

M Spagat, J Restrepo

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Analysis of our new, 16-year dataset on the Colombian civil war finds under tUribe: guerrilla and paramilitary attacks dropping sharply to long-run averages since 1988, lower for April-December, 2003; government-guerrilla clashes at all-time higs, exceeding guerrillia attacks; civilian killings dropping sharply and continuous to all-time lows, mainly from decreased paramilitary attacks; combatant killings rising sharply to all-time highs; guerrilla tactics shifting toward indiscriminate attacking, forcing civilian injuries to long-run highs; government-to-paramilitary clashes increasing but still uncommon; paramilitary performance in clashes dropping sharply; the ELN seriously weakened, mounting few attacks.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)131-152
Issue number5
Publication statusPublished - 4 Jun 2004


  • Civil War
  • Paramilitaries
  • Conflict
  • Guerrillas
  • Government
  • Colombia

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