Modelled glacier response to centennial temperature and precipitation trends on the Antarctic Peninsula. / Davies, Bethan J.; Golledge, Nicholas R.; Glasser, Neil F.; Carrivick, Jonathan L.; Ligtenberg, Stefan R. M.; Barrand, Nicholas E.; van den Broeke, Michiel R.; Hambrey, Michael J.; Smellie, John L.

In: Nature Climate Change, Vol. 4, 11.2014, p. 993–998.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Published

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Modelled glacier response to centennial temperature and precipitation trends on the Antarctic Peninsula. / Davies, Bethan J.; Golledge, Nicholas R.; Glasser, Neil F.; Carrivick, Jonathan L.; Ligtenberg, Stefan R. M.; Barrand, Nicholas E.; van den Broeke, Michiel R.; Hambrey, Michael J.; Smellie, John L.

In: Nature Climate Change, Vol. 4, 11.2014, p. 993–998.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Harvard

Davies, BJ, Golledge, NR, Glasser, NF, Carrivick, JL, Ligtenberg, SRM, Barrand, NE, van den Broeke, MR, Hambrey, MJ & Smellie, JL 2014, 'Modelled glacier response to centennial temperature and precipitation trends on the Antarctic Peninsula', Nature Climate Change, vol. 4, pp. 993–998. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2369

APA

Davies, B. J., Golledge, N. R., Glasser, N. F., Carrivick, J. L., Ligtenberg, S. R. M., Barrand, N. E., van den Broeke, M. R., Hambrey, M. J., & Smellie, J. L. (2014). Modelled glacier response to centennial temperature and precipitation trends on the Antarctic Peninsula. Nature Climate Change, 4, 993–998. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2369

Vancouver

Davies BJ, Golledge NR, Glasser NF, Carrivick JL, Ligtenberg SRM, Barrand NE et al. Modelled glacier response to centennial temperature and precipitation trends on the Antarctic Peninsula. Nature Climate Change. 2014 Nov;4:993–998. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2369

Author

Davies, Bethan J. ; Golledge, Nicholas R. ; Glasser, Neil F. ; Carrivick, Jonathan L. ; Ligtenberg, Stefan R. M. ; Barrand, Nicholas E. ; van den Broeke, Michiel R. ; Hambrey, Michael J. ; Smellie, John L. / Modelled glacier response to centennial temperature and precipitation trends on the Antarctic Peninsula. In: Nature Climate Change. 2014 ; Vol. 4. pp. 993–998.

BibTeX

@article{c9441238c3ba44b198eb39fc230c13c1,
title = "Modelled glacier response to centennial temperature and precipitation trends on the Antarctic Peninsula",
abstract = "The northern Antarctic Peninsula is currently undergoing rapid atmospheric warming1. Increased glacier-surface melt during the twentieth century2, 3 has contributed to ice-shelf collapse and the widespread acceleration4, thinning and recession5 of glaciers. Therefore, glaciers peripheral to the Antarctic Ice Sheet currently make a large contribution to eustatic sea-level rise6, 7, but future melting may be offset by increased precipitation8. Here we assess glacier–climate relationships both during the past and into the future, using ice-core and geological data and glacier and climate numerical model simulations. Focusing on Glacier IJR45 on James Ross Island, northeast Antarctic Peninsula, our modelling experiments show that this representative glacier is most sensitive to temperature change, not precipitation change. We determine that its most recent expansion occurred during the late Holocene {\textquoteleft}Little Ice Age{\textquoteright} and not during the warmer mid-Holocene, as previously proposed9. Simulations using a range of future Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate scenarios indicate that future increases in precipitation are unlikely to offset atmospheric-warming-induced melt of peripheral Antarctic Peninsula glaciers",
author = "Davies, {Bethan J.} and Golledge, {Nicholas R.} and Glasser, {Neil F.} and Carrivick, {Jonathan L.} and Ligtenberg, {Stefan R. M.} and Barrand, {Nicholas E.} and {van den Broeke}, {Michiel R.} and Hambrey, {Michael J.} and Smellie, {John L.}",
year = "2014",
month = nov,
doi = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2369",
language = "English",
volume = "4",
pages = "993–998",
journal = "Nature Climate Change",
issn = "1758-678X",
publisher = "Nature Publishing Group",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Modelled glacier response to centennial temperature and precipitation trends on the Antarctic Peninsula

AU - Davies, Bethan J.

AU - Golledge, Nicholas R.

AU - Glasser, Neil F.

AU - Carrivick, Jonathan L.

AU - Ligtenberg, Stefan R. M.

AU - Barrand, Nicholas E.

AU - van den Broeke, Michiel R.

AU - Hambrey, Michael J.

AU - Smellie, John L.

PY - 2014/11

Y1 - 2014/11

N2 - The northern Antarctic Peninsula is currently undergoing rapid atmospheric warming1. Increased glacier-surface melt during the twentieth century2, 3 has contributed to ice-shelf collapse and the widespread acceleration4, thinning and recession5 of glaciers. Therefore, glaciers peripheral to the Antarctic Ice Sheet currently make a large contribution to eustatic sea-level rise6, 7, but future melting may be offset by increased precipitation8. Here we assess glacier–climate relationships both during the past and into the future, using ice-core and geological data and glacier and climate numerical model simulations. Focusing on Glacier IJR45 on James Ross Island, northeast Antarctic Peninsula, our modelling experiments show that this representative glacier is most sensitive to temperature change, not precipitation change. We determine that its most recent expansion occurred during the late Holocene ‘Little Ice Age’ and not during the warmer mid-Holocene, as previously proposed9. Simulations using a range of future Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate scenarios indicate that future increases in precipitation are unlikely to offset atmospheric-warming-induced melt of peripheral Antarctic Peninsula glaciers

AB - The northern Antarctic Peninsula is currently undergoing rapid atmospheric warming1. Increased glacier-surface melt during the twentieth century2, 3 has contributed to ice-shelf collapse and the widespread acceleration4, thinning and recession5 of glaciers. Therefore, glaciers peripheral to the Antarctic Ice Sheet currently make a large contribution to eustatic sea-level rise6, 7, but future melting may be offset by increased precipitation8. Here we assess glacier–climate relationships both during the past and into the future, using ice-core and geological data and glacier and climate numerical model simulations. Focusing on Glacier IJR45 on James Ross Island, northeast Antarctic Peninsula, our modelling experiments show that this representative glacier is most sensitive to temperature change, not precipitation change. We determine that its most recent expansion occurred during the late Holocene ‘Little Ice Age’ and not during the warmer mid-Holocene, as previously proposed9. Simulations using a range of future Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate scenarios indicate that future increases in precipitation are unlikely to offset atmospheric-warming-induced melt of peripheral Antarctic Peninsula glaciers

U2 - http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2369

DO - http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2369

M3 - Article

VL - 4

SP - 993

EP - 998

JO - Nature Climate Change

JF - Nature Climate Change

SN - 1758-678X

ER -