1. Working paper › Research
  2. Published

    A game-theoretic explanation of the $dt$ effect

    Vovk, V. & Shafer, G., Jan 2003, (The Game-Theoretic Probability and Finance project, http://probabilityandfinance.com).

    Research output: Working paper

  3. Published

    A Note on Local Ultrametricity in Text

    Murtagh, F., 27 Jan 2007.

    Research output: Working paper

  4. Published
  5. Published

    A simplified Capital Asset Pricing Model

    Vovk, V., 11 Nov 2011, 6 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  6. Published

    A tutorial on conformal prediction

    Shafer, G. & Vovk, V., 21 Jun 2007.

    Research output: Working paper

  7. Published

    Adaptive Hedge

    van Erven, T., Grünwald, P., M. Koolen, W. & de Rooij, S., 28 Oct 2011.

    Research output: Working paper

  8. Published

    Asymptotic optimality of Transductive Confidence Machine

    Vovk, V., May 2002, (On-line Compression Modelling project).

    Research output: Working paper

  9. Published

    Black-Scholes formula without stochastic assumptions

    Vovk, V., Mar 2000.

    Research output: Working paper

  10. Published

    Central limit theorem without probability

    Vovk, V., 1999.

    Research output: Working paper

  11. Published

    Closure Properties of Constraints

    Jeavons, P. G., Cohen, D. A. & Gyssens, M., 1996.

    Research output: Working paper

  12. Published

    Combining Expert Advice Efficiently

    Koolen, W. & de Rooij, S., 14 Feb 2008.

    Research output: Working paper

  13. Published

    Competing with Gaussian linear experts

    Zhdanov, F. & Vovk, V., 24 Oct 2009.

    Research output: Working paper

  14. Published

    Competing with Markov prediction strategies

    Vovk, V., 28 Jul 2006, 11 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  15. Published

    Competing with stationary prediction strategies

    Vovk, V., 13 Jul 2006.

    Research output: Working paper

  16. Published

    Competing with wild prediction rules

    Vovk, V., 14 Dec 2005.

    Research output: Working paper

  17. Published

    Competitive on-line learning with a convex loss function

    Vovk, V., 11 Jun 2005.

    Research output: Working paper

  18. Unpublished

    Consistency and Complexity Tradeoffs for Highly-Available Multi-Cloud Store

    Chockler, G., Dobre, D. & Shraer, A., 2013, (Unpublished).

    Research output: Working paper

  19. Published

    Constraints and Universal Algebra

    Jeavons, P. G., Cohen, D. A. & Pearson, J. K., 1998.

    Research output: Working paper

  20. Published

    Constraints, Consistency and Closure

    Jeavons, P. G., Cohen, D. A. & Cooper, M. C., 1997.

    Research output: Working paper

  21. Published
  22. Published

    Continuous-time trading and emergence of randomness

    Vovk, V., 8 Dec 2007.

    Research output: Working paper

  23. Published

    Continuous-time trading and emergence of volatility

    Vovk, V., 10 Dec 2007.

    Research output: Working paper

  24. Published

    Continuous-time trading and the emergence of probability

    Vovk, V., 28 Apr 2009.

    Research output: Working paper

  25. Published

    Criteria of efficiency for conformal prediction

    Vovk, V., Fedorova, V., Nouretdinov, I. & Gammerman, A., 2014, On-line Compression Modelling Project (New Series), 19 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  26. Published

    Criterion of calibration for Transductive Confidence Machine with limited feedback

    Nouretdinov, I. & Vovk, V., Apr 2003, (On-line Compression Modelling project, http://vovk.net/kp).

    Research output: Working paper

  27. Published

    Cross-conformal predictors

    Vovk, V., 3 Aug 2012.

    Research output: Working paper

  28. Published

    Defensive forecasting

    Vovk, V., Takemura, A. & Shafer, G., 30 May 2005.

    Research output: Working paper

  29. Published

    Defensive forecasting

    Vovk, V., Takemura, A. & Shafer, G., Sep 2004.

    Research output: Working paper

  30. Published

    Defensive forecasting for linear protocols

    Vovk, V., Nouretdinov, I., Takemura, A. & Shafer, G., 2 Jun 2005.

    Research output: Working paper

  31. Published
  32. Published

    Experiments with the K29 algorithm

    Vovk, V., 1 Sep 2004.

    Research output: Working paper

  33. Published
  34. Unpublished

    Freezing and Sleeping: Tracking Experts that Learn by Evolving Past Posteriors

    M. Koolen, W. & van Erven, T., 27 Aug 2010, (Unpublished).

    Research output: Working paper

  35. Published

    Game-theoretic Brownian motion

    Vovk, V., 8 Jan 2008, 17 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  36. Published
  37. Published
  38. Published
  39. Published

    Good randomized sequential probability forecasting is always possible

    Vovk, V. & Shafer, G., Jun 2003, (The Game-Theoretic Probability and Finance project).

    Research output: Working paper

  40. Published

    Hedging predictions in machine learning

    Gammerman, A. & Vovk, V., 2 Nov 2006.

    Research output: Working paper

  41. Published
  42. Published

    Hoeffding's inequality in game-theoretic probability

    Vovk, V., 18 Aug 2007, 5 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  43. Published

    Hypergraphical on-line compression models

    Vovk, V., 2003.

    Research output: Working paper

  44. Published

    Inductive conformal predictors in the batch mode

    Vovk, V., 12 Sep 2012.

    Research output: Working paper

  45. Published

    Insuring against loss of evidence in game-theoretic probability

    Philip Dawid, A., de Rooij, S., Shafer, G., Shen, A., Vereshchagin, N. & Vovk, V., 11 May 2010.

    Research output: Working paper

  46. Published

    Ito calculus without probability in idealized financial markets

    Vovk, V., 3 Aug 2011, 25 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  47. Published

    Jeffreys's law for general games of prediction: in search of a theory

    P. Dawid, A. & G. Vovk, V., 22 Dec 2009.

    Research output: Working paper

  48. Published

    Kernels from matching operations

    Watkins, C., 1999.

    Research output: Working paper

  49. Unpublished

    Kolmogorov Complexity Theory over the Reals

    Ziegler, M. & M. Koolen, W., 14 Feb 2008, (Unpublished).

    Research output: Working paper

  50. Published

    Leading strategies in competitive on-line prediction

    Vovk, V., 27 Jul 2006.

    Research output: Working paper

  51. Published

    Levy's zero-one law in game-theoretic probability

    Shafer, G., Vovk, V. & Takemura, A., 3 May 2009.

    Research output: Working paper

  52. Published

    Losing money with a high Sharpe ratio

    Vovk, V., 4 Sep 2011, 6 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  53. Published

    Merging of opinions in game-theoretic probability

    Vovk, V., 2 May 2007.

    Research output: Working paper

  54. Unpublished

    Merging Time Series with Specialist Experts

    Scarfe, T. & Kalnishkan, Y., 2013, (Unpublished) 16 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  55. Published

    Metric entropy in competitive on-line prediction

    Vovk, V., 9 Sep 2006.

    Research output: Working paper

  56. Published

    Mondrian Condence Machine

    Vovk, V., Lindsay, D., Nouretdinov, I. & Gammerman, A., Mar 2003, (On-line Compression Modelling project).

    Research output: Working paper

  57. Published

    Mondrian Confidence Machine

    Vovk, V., Lindsay, D., Nouretdinov, I. & Gammerman, A., Mar 2003, (On-line Compression Modelling project).

    Research output: Working paper

  58. Published

    Non-asymptotic calibration and resolution

    Vovk, V., 1 Jun 2005.

    Research output: Working paper

  59. Published

    On-line competitive linear regression

    Vovk, V., 1997.

    Research output: Working paper

  60. Published

    On-line Confidence Machines are well-calibrated

    Vovk, V., Apr 2002.

    Research output: Working paper

  61. Published
  62. Published
  63. Published

    On-line predictive linear regression

    Vovk, V., Nouretdinov, I. & Gammerman, A., 21 Nov 2005.

    Research output: Working paper

  64. Published

    Online region prediction with real teachers

    Ryabko, D., Vovk, V. & Gammerman, A., Mar 2003, (On-line Compression Modelling project).

    Research output: Working paper

  65. Published
  66. Published

    Ontology from Local Hierarchical Structure in Text

    Murtagh, F., Mothe, J. & Englmeier, K., 27 Jan 2007.

    Research output: Working paper

  67. Published

    Plug-in martingales for testing exchangeability on-line

    Fedorova, V., Gammerman, A., Nouretdinov, I. & Vovk, V., 15 Apr 2012, 17 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  68. Published
  69. Published

    Prediction with expert advice for the Brier game

    Vovk, V. & Zhdanov, F., 2 Oct 2007.

    Research output: Working paper

  70. Published

    Prediction with expert evaluators' advice

    Chernov, A. & Vovk, V., 24 Feb 2009.

    Research output: Working paper

  71. Published

    Predictions as statements and decisions

    Vovk, V., 22 Jun 2006.

    Research output: Working paper

  72. Published
  73. Published

    Pricing European options without probability

    Vovk, V., 1999.

    Research output: Working paper

  74. Published

    Probability forecasting in on-line compression models

    Vovk, V., Jun 2003.

    Research output: Working paper

  75. Published

    Probability-free pricing of adjusted American lookbacks

    Philip Dawid, A., de Rooij, S., Grunwald, P., M. Koolen, W., Shafer, G., Shen, A., Vereshchagin, N. & Vovk, V., 20 Aug 2011, 28 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  76. Published

    Rough paths in idealized financial markets

    Vovk, V., 3 May 2010.

    Research output: Working paper

  77. Published

    Some mathematical refinements concerning error minimization in the genetic code

    Buhrman, H., T. S. van der Gulik, P., M. Kelk, S., M. Koolen, W. & Stougie, L., 8 Sep 2009.

    Research output: Working paper

  78. In preparation

    Space Bounds for Reliable Multi-Writer Data Store: Inherent Cost of Read/Write Primitives

    Chockler, G., Dobre, D., Shraer, A. & Spiegelman, A., 2015, (In preparation).

    Research output: Working paper

  79. Published

    Strong confidence intervals for autoregression

    Vovk, V., 4 Jul 2007.

    Research output: Working paper

  80. Published

    Superefficiency from the Vantage Point of Computability

    Vovk, V., 16 Aug 2008.

    Research output: Working paper

  81. Published
  82. Published

    Supermodular Functions and the Complexity of MAX CSP

    Cohen, D., Cooper, M., Jeavons, P. & Krokhin, A., 1 Jan 2004.

    Research output: Working paper

  83. Published

    Switching between Hidden Markov Models using Fixed Share

    M. Koolen, W. & van Erven, T., 26 Aug 2010.

    Research output: Working paper

  84. Published

    Test martingales, Bayes factors, and p-values

    Shafer, G., Shen, A., Vereshchagin, N. & Vovk, V., 21 Dec 2009.

    Research output: Working paper

  85. Published

    Testing Exchangeability On-line

    Vovk, V., Nouretdinov, I. & Gammerman, A., Feb 2003, (On-line Compression Modelling project).

    Research output: Working paper

  86. Published
  87. Published
  88. Published

    The existence of predictive complexity and the Legendre transformation

    Kalnichkan, Y. & Vovk, V., Mar 2000.

    Research output: Working paper

  89. Published

    The expressive power of valued constraints: hierarchies and collapses

    Cohen, D. A., Jeavons, P. G. & Zivný, S., 1 Apr 2007.

    Research output: Working paper

  90. Published

    The Game-Theoretic Capital Asset Pricing Model

    Vovk, V. & Shafer, G., 1 Nov 2001.

    Research output: Working paper

  91. Published

    The generality of the zero-one laws

    Takemura, A., Vovk, V. & Shafer, G., 26 Mar 2008.

    Research output: Working paper

  92. Published
  93. Published

    The origins and legacy of Kolmogorov's Grundbegriffe

    Vovk, V. & Shafer, G., Oct 2005, 109 p. (Game-Theoretic Probability and Finance project).

    Research output: Working paper

  94. Published

    The Sources of Kolmogorov's Grundbegriffe

    Shafer, G. & Vovk, V., 21 Jun 2006.

    Research output: Working paper

  95. Published

    Towards High Order Constraint Representations for the Frequency Assignment Problem

    Dunkin, N. W., Bater, J. E., Jeavons, P. G. & Cohen, D. A., 1998.

    Research output: Working paper

  96. Published
  97. Published

    Venn predictors and isotonic regression

    Vovk, V., 31 Oct 2012, 4 p.

    Research output: Working paper

  98. Published

    Well-calibrated predictions from on-line compression models

    Vovk, V., 1 Apr 2003, (On-line Compression Modelling project, http://vovk.net/kp).

    Research output: Working paper

  99. Discussion paper › Research
  100. Published

    The Haar Wavelet Transform of a Dendrogram: Additional Notes

    Murtagh, F., 10 Feb 2007.

    Research output: Working paperDiscussion paper

  101. Software › Research
  102. Published
  103. Published

    Choose-Survey

    Alnasir, J., Anderberg, D., Chevalier, A., Luhrmann, M. & Pavan, R., 1 Sep 2015

    Research output: Non-textual formSoftware

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