Universal Probability-Free Conformal Prediction

Vladimir Vovk; Dusko Pavlovic

doi:10.1007/978-3-319-33395-3_3

Universal Probability-Free Conformal Prediction

Vladimir Vovk, Dusko Pavlovic

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

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Abstract

We construct a universal prediction system in the spirit of Popper's falsifiability and Kolmogorov complexity. This prediction system does not depend on any statistical assumptions, but under the IID assumption it dominates, although in a rather weak sense, conformal prediction.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Proceedings of COPA 2016
Subtitle of host publication	Fifth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications
Publisher	Springer
Pages	40-47
Number of pages	8
Volume	9653
ISBN (Electronic)	978-3-319-33395-3
ISBN (Print)	978-3-319-33394-6
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33395-3_3
Publication status	Published - 2016

Publication series

Name	Lecture Notes in Computer Science
Volume	9653

Access to Document

10.1007/978-3-319-33395-3_3

Accepted ManuscriptAccepted author manuscript, 262 KB

http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F978-3-319-33395-3_3

Semantic Completions: Unifying the Wave and the Particle Views of Information
Fiadeiro, J. L. (PI), Vovk, V. (CoI) & Pavlovic, D. (CoI)
Air Force Office of Scientific Research
1/01/16 → 31/12/16
Project: Research

Cite this

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abstract = "We construct a universal prediction system in the spirit of Popper's falsifiability and Kolmogorov complexity. This prediction system does not depend on any statistical assumptions, but under the IID assumption it dominates, although in a rather weak sense, conformal prediction.",

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T3 - Lecture Notes in Computer Science

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Universal Probability-Free Conformal Prediction

Abstract

Publication series

Access to Document

Projects

Semantic Completions: Unifying the Wave and the Particle Views of Information

Cite this