Missing Nonvoters and Misweighted Samples: Explaining the 2015 Great British Polling Miss

Jonathan Mellon; Christopher Prosser

doi:10.1093/poq/nfx015

Missing Nonvoters and Misweighted Samples: Explaining the 2015 Great British Polling Miss

Jonathan Mellon
, Christopher Prosser

Department of Politics, International Relations and Philosophy

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

133 Downloads (Pure)

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	661-687
Number of pages	27
Journal	Public Opinion Quarterly
Volume	81
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfx015
Publication status	Published - 24 May 2017

Keywords

british election 2015
differential turnout
don't know
late swing
online polling
political polling
polling miss
public opinion
question ordering
representative samples
shy tories
survey methodology
survey weighting

Access to Document

10.1093/poq/nfx015

Accepted ManuscriptAccepted author manuscript, 1.53 MB

http://academic.oup.com/poq/article/81/3/661/3852137/Missing-Nonvoters-and-Misweighted https://academic.oup.com/poq/article-lookup/doi/10.1093/poq/nfx015 https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfx015

2015 British Election Study Post-Election Face-to-Face Survey
Fieldhouse, E. (Creator), Green, J. (Creator), Evans, G. (Creator), Schmitt, H. (Creator), van der Eijk, C. (Creator), Mellon, J. (Creator) & Prosser, C. (Creator), British Election Study, 2015
http://ShowEdit https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-object/version-3-0-2015-face-to-face-post-election-survey/
Dataset
British Election Study 2014-25 Combined Wave 1-30 Internet Panel
Fieldhouse, E. (Creator), Green, J. (Creator), Evans, G. (Creator), Mellon, J. (Creator), Prosser, C. (Creator), Bailey, J. (Creator), de Geus, R. (Creator), Schmitt, H. (Creator), van der Eijk, C. (Creator), Griffiths, J. D. (Creator) & Perrett, S. (Creator), British Election Study, 2025
https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-object/british-election-study-combined-wave-1-30-internet-panel/
Dataset

Cite this

@article{08ddb737b2f545aaa937b8d0cd7774c7,

title = "Missing Nonvoters and Misweighted Samples: Explaining the 2015 Great British Polling Miss",

keywords = "british election 2015, differential turnout, don't know, late swing, online polling, political polling, polling miss, public opinion, question ordering, representative samples, shy tories, survey methodology, survey weighting",

author = "Jonathan Mellon and Christopher Prosser",

year = "2017",

month = may,

day = "24",

doi = "10.1093/poq/nfx015",

language = "English",

volume = "81",

pages = "661--687",

journal = "Public Opinion Quarterly",

issn = "1556-5068",

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}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Missing Nonvoters and Misweighted Samples

T2 - Explaining the 2015 Great British Polling Miss

AU - Mellon, Jonathan

AU - Prosser, Christopher

PY - 2017/5/24

Y1 - 2017/5/24

KW - british election 2015

KW - differential turnout

KW - don't know

KW - late swing

KW - online polling

KW - political polling

KW - polling miss

KW - public opinion

KW - question ordering

KW - representative samples

KW - shy tories

KW - survey methodology

KW - survey weighting

U2 - 10.1093/poq/nfx015

DO - 10.1093/poq/nfx015

M3 - Article

SN - 1556-5068

VL - 81

SP - 661

EP - 687

JO - Public Opinion Quarterly

JF - Public Opinion Quarterly

IS - 3

ER -

Missing Nonvoters and Misweighted Samples: Explaining the 2015 Great British Polling Miss

Keywords

Access to Document

Datasets

2015 British Election Study Post-Election Face-to-Face Survey

British Election Study 2014-25 Combined Wave 1-30 Internet Panel

Cite this