Bubble Necessity Theorem

Tomohiro Hirano, Alexis Akira Toda

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Asset price bubbles are situations where asset prices exceed the fundamental values defined by the present value of dividends. This paper presents a conceptually new perspective: the necessity of bubbles. We establish the Bubble Necessity Theorem in a plausible general class of economic models: with faster long-run economic growth (G) than dividend growth (Gd) and counterfactual long-run autarky interest rate (R) below dividend growth, all equilibria are bubbly with non-negligible bubble sizes relative to the economy. This bubble necessity condition naturally arises in economies with sufficiently strong savings motives and multiple factors or sectors with uneven productivity growth.
Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of Political Economy
Publication statusAccepted/In press - 23 Apr 2024

Keywords

  • bubble, fundamental value, possibility versus necessity

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