Beyond emotions: Social cognitive predictors of COVID-19 vaccination intentions before and after vaccine roll-out

  • Athina Manoli
  • , Maria Kyprianidou
  • , Demetris Lamnisos
  • , Jelena Lubenko
  • , Giovambattista Presti
  • , Valeria Squatrito
  • , Marios Constantinou
  • , Christiana Nicolaou
  • , Savvas Papacostas
  • , Gökçen Aydin
  • , Yuen Yu Chong
  • , Wai Tong Chien
  • , Ho Yu Cheng
  • , Francisco Ruiz
  • , Maria Belen Garcia-Martin
  • , Diana P. Obando-Posada
  • , Miguel A. Segura-Vargas
  • , Vasilis S. Vasiliou
  • , Louise McHugh
  • , Stefan Höfer
  • Adriana Baban, David Dias Neto, Ana Nunes da Silva, Jean-Louis Monestès, Javier Alvarez-Galvez, Marisa Paez-Blarrina, Francisco Montesinos, Sonsoles Valdivia-Salas, Dorottya Őri, Bartosz Kleszcz, Raimo Lappalainen, Iva Ivanovic, David Gosar, Frederick Dionne, Rhonda Merwin, Maria Karekla, Andrew Gloster, Angelos P. Kassianos

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Abstract

Understanding the drivers of COVID-19 vaccination intentions remains relevant as public health systems prepare for future pandemics. This study examined how emotional and social-cognitive factors influence COVID-19 vaccination intentions during two key phases of the COVID-19 pandemic: before (April-June 2020) and after (January-February 2021) vaccination rollout. A total of 586 adults completed an online survey assessing beliefs about COVID-19, self-efficacy to adhere to protective behaviours, perceived stress, affect, psychological flexibility, and prosociality. Self-efficacy, prosociality, psychological flexibility and positive affect significantly declined after vaccination rollout. Higher self-efficacy and perceived severity of the disease consistently predicted stronger vaccination intentions across time points. Perceived susceptibility was negatively associated with vaccination intention before, but not after rollout. The psychological variables were not significant predictors of intentions. These findings underscore the importance of social-cognitive factors, especially self-efficacy and perceived severity, in shaping vaccination-related decisions, with implications for designing effective communication strategies in future health emergencies.
Original languageEnglish
Article numbere0005668
Pages (from-to)1
Number of pages16
JournalPLOS Global Public Health
Volume6
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2 Jan 2026

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